Market Basket Inflation
+3.0%
Jan '25 → Mar '26
vs 2024 Reference
+6.7%
2024 avg → Mar '26
Highest Inflation
🥛 Fresh Milk
+16.8%
Lowest / Deflation
🌾 Basmati Rice
-9.9%
Market Basket — Average Price Trend (AED)
Average price across all 19 items · Jan 2025 – Mar 2026
UAE Food CPI — YoY Change (%)
Source: UAE FCSC / CEIC · Jan 2025 – Mar 2026
Inflation by Food Category (%)
Jan '25 → Mar '26
Inflation by Outlet (%)
Jan '25 → Mar '26 · Average across all tracked items
Waitrose
+6.8%
Lulu
+3.1%
Spinneys
+2.6%
Carrefour
+0.7%
Key Market Events
● Feb 2026: Carrefour cut prices on 1,000+ essentials
● Mar 2026: Lulu froze 300 items + 65% discounts on 5,500 products
● Feb–Mar 2026: Ramadan price controls on 9 key staples
Inflation by Item (%)
Jan '25 → Mar '26 · Sorted by highest inflation
Item Price Table — All Brands & Outlets
Click any item to expand brand-level price trend · Prices in AED
>3% high 1–3% moderate 0–1% low deflation
| Item | Category | 2024 Avg | Jan '25 | Jun '25 | Dec '25 | Mar '26 | vs Jan '25 | vs 2024 Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🥛Fresh Milk(2L carton) | Dairy | 11.69 | 12.31 | 13.00 | 13.88 | 14.37 | +16.8% | +23.0% |
| 🍌Bananas(1kg) | Fruits | 4.69 | 4.94 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | +11.4% | +17.3% |
| 🥚White Eggs(30 eggs) | Dairy | 23.31 | 24.38 | 25.19 | 26.19 | 26.76 | +9.8% | +14.8% |
| 🍗Whole Chicken(per kg) | Meat | 21.38 | 22.38 | 23.19 | 24.00 | 24.43 | +9.2% | +14.3% |
| 🐟Canned Tuna(170g can) | Canned | 5.63 | 5.86 | 6.19 | 6.38 | 6.38 | +8.8% | +13.3% |
| 🧀Cheddar Cheese(400g block) | Dairy | 20.19 | 21.19 | 22.00 | 22.75 | 23.00 | +8.6% | +13.9% |
| 🥩Beef Mince(500g) | Meat | 20.38 | 21.25 | 22.00 | 22.69 | 22.88 | +7.6% | +12.3% |
| 🥔Potatoes(1kg) | Fruits | 4.31 | 4.56 | 5.31 | 4.56 | 4.81 | +5.5% | +11.7% |
| 🧈Butter(250g block) | Dairy | 13.38 | 14.00 | 14.38 | 14.75 | 14.76 | +5.4% | +10.4% |
| 🍞White Bread(600-700g loaf) | Staples | 5.56 | 5.79 | 5.93 | 6.06 | 6.03 | +4.1% | +8.5% |
| 💧Bottled Water(1.5L bottle) | Beverages | 3.19 | 3.31 | 3.44 | 3.44 | 3.44 | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 🥒Cucumber(1kg) | Fruits | 5.16 | 5.42 | 6.58 | 4.83 | 5.58 | +3.1% | +8.1% |
| 🍝Pasta(500g pack) | Canned | 5.81 | 6.04 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | +2.1% | +6.2% |
| 🍬White Sugar(5kg bag) | Staples | 22.81 | 24.25 | 24.75 | 24.75 | 24.50 | +1.0% | +7.4% |
| 🌾Wheat Flour(5kg bag) | Staples | 18.81 | 20.06 | 20.13 | 20.13 | 20.06 | +0.0% | +6.6% |
| 🧅Onions(1kg) | Fruits | 2.83 | 3.08 | 3.58 | 2.83 | 3.08 | +0.0% | +8.8% |
| 🍅Tomatoes(1kg) | Fruits | 5.44 | 5.69 | 6.94 | 4.81 | 5.56 | -2.2% | +2.3% |
| 🫙Sunflower Oil(1L bottle) | Cooking Oils | 13.44 | 13.81 | 12.81 | 12.63 | 12.56 | -9.1% | -6.5% |
| 🌾Basmati Rice(5kg bag) | Staples | 40.38 | 39.12 | 37.25 | 37.69 | 35.25 | -9.9% | -12.7% |